His form to date looks just shy of that recorded by one or two of these, but he gets weight from the winners and of course there could be plenty more to come from him after only two starts. He looks to have shown a fair bit of pace over 6f at Newcastle last time and the step down to 5f may suit him better at the moment.
He ran a bit disappointingly in the Duke Of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot if truth be told, dropping away a touch too tamely after racing prominently. But he has been dropped 2lb for it and he had earlier run really well when third over an extended 1m2f here. If he comes back to that form he is certainly handicapped to take a hand here, and go close to winning, in fact. The likes of Mainstream probably hold stronger recent form claims, but I think that one could be a hard ride in this smaller field.
Isabel’s On It
With the top-rated horse only on 103, this is a very winnable Group 3. That said, my filly is rated just 92 and clearly has to improve a fair deal to get competitive here. But she comes into this race after a career-best fourth over 7f at Carlisle last time and she shaped as though the step down to 6f could suit her there, so there are reasons to be hopeful, if not confident.
I have ridden him once before, when fourth over 1m1f here last summer, and he looks to have been running well since winning at Hamilton in May. The problem is that he has been beaten off this mark on his last three starts, and the handicapper has left him alone. So, while conditions may suit, he isn’t obviously well treated. But he should run his race and has each-way claims.
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