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Jamie Spencer: My filly has to improve 10lb to spring a shock

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Jamie Spencer: My filly has to improve 10lb to spring a shock

Jamie Spencer: My filly has to improve 10lb to spring a shock

1.30pm Newmarket

Courtside

He cost a fair bit at the Breeze-Ups in May and is related to a couple of decent winners, so hopefully he will show us a bit on his debut here. There is plenty of stamina in his pedigree so a mile looks a good starting point for him, as he is a middle-distance horse for next year.  But there looks to be some decent sorts against him in here, not least Knight To Behold after his close second on his debut at Newbury, and this looks a strong race.

2.05pm Newmarket

Clear Water

She doesn’t look the most consistent but she ran well when fourth at Salisbury last time – the second third and fifth are also in here – and the handicapper dropped her 1lb for it, which is fair enough. She won at the course when with Godolphin last year, so I suppose that’s another positive.

2.40pm Newmarket

Tomyris

This race lacks an obvious stand-out but it has an awful lot of depth, and the official ratings tell you that my filly has to improve the best part of 10lb to spring a shock here. That’s a big ask, obviously, but she shaped well over 7f at Doncaster last time, is a course winner, and hopefully she can continue her progress stepped back up to 1m here. She will need to. Qemah would be my idea of the horse to beat. She is better on a straight track and a big field should ensure she gets a pace to aim at.

3.15pm Newmarket

Supernova

This could be the weaker of the two divisions. He is another of David’s who obviously impressed at the Breeze-Ups earlier in the year and this Intello colt should be suited by this trip on pedigree. He is a nice horse and, like Courtside, more of a middle-distance prospect for next year.

3.50pm Newmarket

Tember

He showed promise earlier in the season but he clearly needs to improve on those efforts to figure. But he has been gelded since he was last seen in July and hopefully first-time blinkers will help bring about the needed progress, too. And the extra furlong, as well. But his chance isn’t an obvious one as it stands.

4.25pm Newmarket

Soul Silver

She put a modest run behind her when fourth at Newmarket here last time, and the first two home there re-oppose. The turnaround in the weights gives her chances against the progressive winner Shenanigans, but each-way claims are probably more realistic for her in this competitive handicap.

5.35pm Newmarket

White Chocolate

I haven’t sat on her since she won her maiden here last year but she has done nothing but improve since and ran another decent race at Brighton last time.  The handicapper may have her measure at the moment but hopefully there is still more to come from her and the step back up to 1m4f should be okay.

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