Premier League preview: Wednesday’s action including Man City vs Aston Villa
Arsenal vs Luton
When these sides met earlier this season, you may be surprised to hear that at one point, the Hatters led Arsenal 3-2. The match ended 4-3 in Arsenal’s favour, courtesy of a last-gasp Declan Rice header.
In many ways, that match encapsulates Luton’s season. Rob Edwards’ side have frequently proven themselves game for the challenge, playing with an attacking attitude that’s seen them score 43 goals this season – more than Man United have mustered.
Yet however many Luton score, they seem to concede more. The side remain 18th in the table, and have won just one league game in their last 12 attempts.
Meanwhile, this weekend the Gunners frustrated Man City (not to mention any watching neutrals), the goalless draw on Sunday meaning Arsenal currently sit two points behind leaders Liverpool. Losing ground on the leaders with defeat against Luton is unthinkable for Arteta.
Unlikely, too. The Gunners are massively odds on to win, even if Luton have shown they have the ability to make their opposition work for that victory. With Arsenal having been scoring plentifully prior to their trip to Manchester, goals could be back on the menu at the Emirates on Wednesday night.
Alas, even backing four or more goals offers only an odds-on return. It might be better to chance BTTS at 11/10. That’s a fairly decent price because while Arsenal’s defence have been excellent, Luton’s tenacity may see them at least get a foothold here.
Luton have scored against the likes of Spurs and Liverpool on the road in 2024, and have found the net in their last 18 league games. Arsenal have conceded against both Brentford and Newcastle in recent home games, too.
Brentford vs Brighton
Brentford have won just two of their last 16 league games. Meanwhile, the Seagulls only have three wins in their last 10. With both these sides currently struggling for victory, who comes out on top at the Gtech on Wednesday?
Call me unimaginative, but the draw at 27/10 looks pretty tempting. The Bees have drawn their last two at home, against Man Utd and Chelsea, and Brighton have disappointed on the road, losing four of their last five. The Seagulls can possibly get something against Brentford, but victory may continue to elude them.
Man City vs Aston Villa
Villa are without striker Olli Watkins as they head to the Etihad – and Man City will be eager to return to winning ways, after an irksome Sunday afternoon playing out a goalless draw with Arsenal last time.
City are unsurprisingly very short for the win. Perhaps it’s a good time to back Erling Haaland to score though, after the striker received criticism from the likes of Gary Neville and Roy Keane at the weekend.
Haaland is overdue a goal or two and may respond in timely fashion to recent critiques. Unfortunately, the odds-on price for the Norwegian to find the net isn’t massively attractive.
Maybe the best bet is to combine City to win and Under 3.5 goals in a double at 5/4. City have only scored two or fewer goals in six of their last eight home games in the Prem, while Villa may struggle to find the net without Watkins.
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