His best form has come with cut in the ground and he has dropped down to a very fair mark of 73. Those are the positives but the potential negative is whether he will be fit after his break since November, as he needed the run – albeit off a much longer absence – last season. But, like I said, he has come down a lot in the weights – he was only just beaten in a Horris Hill when with Godolphin – and conditions will suit, so you have to be hopeful.
Little Boy Blue
He was a really consistent sort last season – I rode him three times, including when winning at Lingfield – and I thought he shaped promisingly on his return at Bath last month. He handles soft, and hopefully we can get a good position from stall one and get involved in the finish here. I think there is more to come from him.
Ed’s horses are in good form and Tuff Rock ran an excellent race himself when only beaten a length over 1m3f at Kempton on his comeback. His best efforts on turf have come in soft ground, the step up to 1m4f will suit, and I think you have to be pretty positive about this lightly-raced 4yo’s chances. He is maybe my best chance of the day.
He has a good pedigree and one which suggests that this 1m trip is a good starting point for him. We don’t know how well he will handle the soft ground and Zaaki will take all the beating on his 2yo form, but he has ability. He goes quite nicely in his work, in fact, but he has a very tough task if Zaaki runs to form.
He rounded off last season with a soft-ground win at Brighton and a bit of dig suits him well. The handicapper stuck him up 6lb for that win, which is a lot in this grade, but this is his trip and ground and a midfield draw looks okay, if not ideal.
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