Aston Villa vs Brighton
Aston Villa have won their last four meetings with the Seagulls, losing just one of their last eight Premier League encounters with them. Is Brighton’s bogey team set to scupper the south coast side again this Saturday?
Third in the Prem and having won five of their six league games so far, Roberto De Zerbi probably won’t be too disconcerted by Villa’s previous success against his side.
Still, if Brighton have started brilliantly, Villa aren’t too shabby either. They beat Chelsea last week, and have an enviable home record. They’ve won their last nine in the League at Villa Park (though they lost to Everton in the Carabao Cup earlier this week). So could the Villans be a decent bet this week?
Well, they’re taking on a side who have romped to victory in each of their away games this season. With our customary deep insight, we think this one could go either way. Maybe it’s better to stick to goals, which Brighton games often deliver in the De Zerbi era. Back over 3.5 at 27/25.
Ollie Watkins might be worth backing to find the net at 29/20, too; he did so against Chelsea last week, and has scored in his last three appearances against the Seagulls.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal
The Cherries’ ongoing quest for a first league win of the season continues against an Arsenal side that have already slipped four points behind Man City in the title race.
But the Gunners look unlikely candidates to give up points to Andoni Iraola’s side on current form. Arsenal are yet to lose in this campaign; the Cherries haven’t managed a home win in their last five league games.
In what could be a curious tribute to the glory days of George Graham, Arsenal have won all three of their away games (including Brentford , midweek) this season by a 1-0 scoreline.
Everton vs Luton Town
The Toffees have won two away games on the bounce (in the Prem and the Carabao Cup). Now Sean Dyche’s side eye a first home win of the season against a Luton side who’ve taken just a point from their first five games.
Rarely have we felt such confidence in Everton landing all three points; with Luton mustering only three goals so far, you could even consider backing the hosts to win and BTTS No in a double at 11/8.
If that seems overconfident, fair enough – maybe a flutter on the goalscorer market makes more sense. Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in two games in a row! So it might be a good time to back the oft injured striker; DCL is 33/20 to find the net here.
Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
A quirk of the fixture list means Man Utd replay Crystal Palace just days after they beat them 3-0 in the Carabao Cup.
In that previous game, Roy Hodgson’s played a weakened team; can the Eagles offer more resistance here?
Perhaps, but with United having now strung a couple of wins together, they could build further momentum against opposition that seem to be short on positive energy right now.
Before the loss to United, Palace and Fulham played out a goalless draw in uninspiring fashion. Hodgson’s team had lost away to Villa before that, despite having led with four minutes of normal time left to play.
Palace may be at pains to give a better account of themselves for this second trip to Old Trafford, but the hosts will likely still prevail. Back a Utd win and Under 3.5 goals in a double at 5/4.
Newcastle vs Burnley
Newcastle know something about momentum; the side have won three of their last four, with eight different scorers finding the net against Sheffield United last weekend.
On Wednesday it was a less emphatic, but no less welcome scoreline as the Magpies beat Man City 1-0. Having put Pep Guardiola’s bid for a quadruple on hold for at least one more season, now Eddie Howe turns his attention to a Burnley side who’ve found it tough going in the Prem so far.
Vincent Kompany’s side have lost four of their first five league games. There’s little reason to believe the Clarets can improve that record this week.
West Ham vs Sheffield United
After a couple of thankless encounters with Liverpool and Man City, West Ham face more forgiving opposition.
The Blades are still bruised after that 8-0 drubbing from Newcastle; Paul Heckingbottom’s hopes here may not be much grander than restricting the scoreline to something more respectable.
Jarrod Bowen could be the man to deliver for the Irons; he’s scored four goals already this season, though none at the London Stadium as yet. This could be an obliging opportunity to find the net on home turf. Bowen is 5/1 to open the scoring. James Ward-Prowse is 11/5 to provide an assist.
Wolves vs Man City
Without a win in September, now Wolves entertain a Man City side liable to be in more motivated mood than usual, having experienced their first defeat of the season this week with a loss in the Carabao Cup.
That’s a rare slip-up. City have won their first three away games in the Prem this season; they’ve also won their last six games against the Old Gold, with an aggregate score of 19-3. It doesn’t look good for Gary O’Neil’s side.
Is there any slight possibility City could be caught out? It’s happened occasionally that when Guardiola ships one bad result, another has followed. But with Wolves on a considerably more negative run than City – they lost midweek, too, to Ipswich – it’s tough to see the hosts finding any kind of chink in Pep Guardiola’s armour.
Backing Man City to win, Haaland to score and over 2.5 goals in a treble gets you 22/25, which is about as good as it gets – and to be fair, would have paid off in four of City’s six league games so far. If Rodri hadn’t been sent off against Forest, it would likely have paid out last time too.
Spurs vs Liverpool
Tottenham held Arsenal to a draw last week, while Liverpool are on a five-game winning run. This could be another entertaining meeting between two sides with managers who each like to take the game to the opponent.
Despite Liverpool’s current positivity, and Tottenham’s dismal record against this side – they’ve won one of their last 21 league meetings – Spurs have a renewed confidence under Ange Postecoglou.
On current evidence, they may be able to hold firm against Jurgen Klopp’s side. The draw is a 3/1 shot, and looks a strong possibility.
Son Heung-Min has five goals in his last three appearances; the Korean is 27/20 to find the net once more here.
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