Barcelona have it all to do in tonight’s Champions League clash against Paris Saint-Germain at the Nou Camp. PSG’s 4-0 lead from the first match was a stunning result – but if the likes of Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Neymar are at their best, Luis Enrique’s side should at least pose significant problems for goalkeeper Kevin Trapp in this match.
Barca will almost certainly score – but by playing on the offensive, the side are also likely to leave themselves open to counterattacks. And if PSG score another goal in this tie, that is surely goodnight Vienna – Barca’s job is difficult enough if they can maintain a clean sheet, given that no team has ever turned around a four-goal deficit in the knockout stages of the Champions League. An away goal would leave Barca needing six…
Still, the Spanish side have won their last 14 CL home ties. They’ve also scored plenty of goals in the process, beating Celtic 7-0, and turning over both Man City and Borussia Moenchengladbach 4-0. At the very least, you’d expect the Catalan club to take victory on the night here – and they are 13/25 to win the match. If you’re expecting the mother of all turnarounds, Barca are also 8/1 to go through to the next round.
To take the tie into extra time, a 4-0 Barca win is available at 17/1, while a 5-0 win that would guarantee progress to the next round is a 30/1 shot. Lionel Messi is a more modest 18/25 to score at any time – understandable, given he has 10 Champions League goals already this season, 38 goals in all so far this campaign.
In the night’s other Champions League tie, Borussia Dortmund host Benfica looking to overturn a one goal deficit. The German side come here off the back of three straight wins, having kept clean sheets in two of those games and leading in all three at half-time. Thomas Tuchel’s side will surely have too much for the Portuguese side – back Dortmund to be winning at half-time at 8/11.
Meanwhile in the Premier League, Man City entertain Stoke, who’ve won just one of their last six away games (and that win came against Sunderland). They were hammered 4-0 by Tottenham last time on the road; meanwhile, City are unbeaten in their last nine. What’s more, City have scored four times against Stoke in three of the last four encounters between these teams.
The City win is a no-brainer, but you might get more value from backing over 3.5 in the Total Goals market at 57/50. Also, Sergio Aguero has eight goals from seven Prem appearances against the Potters, and he’s in good form with five goals in his last three games for City. Aguero is 13/25 to score at any time.
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