Aston Villa vs Burnley
It’s a depleted fixture list this weekend, but let’s hope at least these games go ahead. Villa’s improvement continued with a dominant display against Norwich on Tuesday, underlining the fact that Steven Gerrard looks like a convincing upgrade on Dean Smith.
The Villans face a Burnley side that have proven difficult to beat in recent weeks – four draws from five games. But for all that, Newcastle did take three points from Sean Dyche’s team a few weeks ago.
Villa will surely see this as a very winnable game, then. Under Gerrard, the team seems to have rediscovered their mojo. But Burnley have a strong record at Villa Park, and are unbeaten in their last three visits.
Burnley will most likely conclude a draw is a good enough result here – but with Gerrard having invigorated this Villa side, it’s hard not to fancy the home win.
The hosts are 8/11 to win, but backing Villa to win 1-0 could work out too, with Dyche’s side likely to make the Midlands side work to break them down. 1-0 to Villa in the Correct Score market is available at 6/1.
Leeds vs Arsenal
After a midweek massacre at the hands of Man City, can Leeds possibly rally against an Arsenal side that looked very much in control against West Ham on Wednesday?
The Gunners don’t travel especially well, losing their last three away games – but Leeds look in bad shape. Injuries to key players in an already small squad are contributing to the side’s malaise.
Leeds have also won just twice at Elland Road this season. There’s a chance the hosts could show a reaction against that miserable midweek result here. But even if Leeds’ spirit remains willing, absent players and Arsenal’s rediscovered purpose could prove decisive.
It seems likely that the visitors will be able to take advantage of Leeds’ current woes. Victory for the Gunners is priced at 10/11.
Wolves vs Chelsea
Wolves have a problem scoring – but they’re pretty good at keeping the goals out, with just two goals conceded in their last six outings. They won against Brighton earlier this week, and took all three points against West Ham at Molineux last month.
Am I making a case for Wolves to win this one? It looks a stretch at first glance, but Bruno Lage’s side may have a chance simply because the previously formidable Chelsea are definitely having a wobble.
The Blues dropped points against Everton on Thursday, and lost on the road against West Ham before that. Thomas Tuchel admitted his side was fortunate to win at Watford earlier this month, too.
The sensible bet is probably to back the draw at 3/1. But I think there’s a possibility that Wolves, famously good at keeping the score down, may just be able to frustrate Chelsea – and even nick all three points. Wolves are 11/2 to take the win.
Newcastle vs Man City
Last time these sides met, it ended in an insane 3-4 scoreline. This match is unlikely to be such a tumultuous affair, with the Magpies’ continuing to seek a way out of the relegation zone.
That hunt seems unlikely to bear fruit against a City side that smashed seven goals past Leeds a few days ago.
Looking for the positives, Newcastle improbably took the lead against Liverpool on Thursday night. Less positively, Eddie Howe’s side still ended up losing at Anfield.
City probably won’t repeat the imperious display they put on against the luckless Marcelo Bielsa. But Pep Guardiola’s side are on a run of seven wins and look well capable of extending that sequence at St James Park on Sunday.
Maybe I’m leaning on this too much, but it’s a pretty useful way to improve your odds when you have a flutter on City – back the visitors to win both halves at 5/4. It’s a bet that has come in during six of City’s last seven wins…
Tottenham vs Liverpool
This exacting test for Antonio Conte could show us how far his Spurs side have come since the Italian took the reins last month. Spurs have won their three league games since Conte’s arrival, but the North London side haven’t played competitively for a couple of weeks, after cancellations forced by the virus.
Regardless of that, those recent wins have come against Leeds, Brentford and Norwich. Liverpool are a tougher proposition; Klopp’s side have lost one game all season, winning four of their last five away games.
And the Merseyside team’s record against Spurs is daunting, with six straight league wins over Tottenham. Liverpool beat them in the Champions League final a few years back too, of course.
It’s difficult to know whether Tottenham’s break from play means they will be rusty or raring to go here – but regardless, it’s tough to look beyond an away win here. Spurs may be able to score though, particularly with Virgil van Dijk absent with COVID. Liverpool to win and Both Teams To Score is an 11/5 shot.
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