Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Liverpool have drawn each of their last four away games in the league, three of those games ending 1-1.
That’s the scoreline in each of Palace’s last couple of matches too, with Roy Hodgson’s stout yeomen keeping Spurs at bay a week ago; and with Klopp’s side slightly sluggish on the road, maybe another stalemate could be on the cards on Saturday.
Southampton vs Man City
Man City have rarely hit the heights we know they’re capable of in this campaign. While there’s always the danger that Pep’s plethora of talent can kick into high gear and produce a hatful of goals, I think it’s worth going against them here, even with the prospect of Sergio Aguero’s return.
The Argentine has been restricted to three league appearances so far in this campaign, and is still waiting for that first league goal. If you think he can get it here, he’s just 17/20 to score at any time.
Bear in mind that City have won just one of their last five league games on the road, and could only draw against the Baggies in a low scoring 1-1 encounter earlier this week.
Meanwhile, Saints’ fine season continues, the side losing just once in their last 11 outings in the Premier League. They took a point against the Gunners on Wednesday, and will hope for something similar here on Saturday. Back Southampton or the draw in the Double Chance market at 7/4.
Everton vs Arsenal
Arsenal scored a goal and earned a point against the Saints midweek, which in the context of their season is encouraging – but the Gunners also added to their poor disciplinary record, with Gabriel sent off in the second half.
Everton have had their own struggles recently, but back-to-back wins against Chelsea and Leicester are reasons to be cheerful, and Carlo Ancelotti’s side have to look at Arsenal’s recent form and figure the visitors could be there for the taking.
The 13/10 for a home win is an option – but given Arsenal’s scoring woes, you could get a juicier price of 16/5 for Everton to win to nil. The Toffees have kept clean sheets in their last two matches, and Arsenal have one goal in their last four away games.
Newcastle vs Fulham
After co-starring in the week’s most goal-crazed romp – the 5-2 barnstormer against Leeds – presumably Steve Bruce will attempt to take it back to basics against Fulham. And after being hopelessly exposed by Marcelo Bielsa (boy did I get that one wrong – apologies) the side will surely redouble their efforts to drain the life from this match.
Newcastle seem reliant on a combination of studied drudgery and good fortune. Fulham are good enough to have taken a point against Liverpool recently, but have lost eight matches already in the Prem. Is the Cottagers’ improvement of the last few weeks likely to be permanent? Who knows, but a draw here at 23/10 seems a decent prospect.
Brighton vs Sheffield Utd
This fixture represents a chink of light for both sides – but which team will take the opportunity? The Seagulls have drawn a blank in their last two outings and haven’t won a home game in the league since June (when they beat Arsenal).
For Graham Potter, you’d think this would be a now-or-never scenario – Sheffield United are currently shaping up to record the worst season in the history of the Premier League, having amassed a grand total of one point from their endeavours so far.
Blades fans will comfort themselves with the faint possibility that Brighton are not having a great time of it either, and that this could be the game where Chris Wilder’s men finally get to work off some of their frustration.
Still, you wouldn’t want to bet on it. If Brighton can’t take the three points here, it will be a big disappointment for the home side. The Seagulls are 7/10 to win; Danny Welbeck is 2/1 to find the net and score what would be just his second goal for the Seagulls. You have to figure this is a good opportunity for the boy Welbz…
Tottenham vs Leicester
Football 2, Anti Football 1 was the joke du jour after Liverpool turned over Tottenham at Anfield earlier this week. Not that Mou would see it that way – he told Klopp after the final whistle that “the better team lost”, Klopp later admitting “I thought he was joking – apparently he was not.”
Mou’s not one for good-natured banter after a defeat, I guess. Will he be a happier camper after Sunday’s visit from the Foxes? Leicester have been turned over by Fulham and Everton in the last month, and It would be a surprise if Spurs don’t take all three points here.
The home side have won their last three games at the Tottenham stadium, keeping clean sheets against both Arsenal and Man City. The loss to Liverpool was just Spurs’ second defeat of the season, and in Mou’s mind it was no reflection of his team, who were “brilliant” according to the man himself. “We were so close to winning. It was a very good performance.”
For Spurs, just one point clear of Leicester going into this match, a victory is clearly paramount; and Jose has his team playing just as he likes it right now. Back Tottenham to win at 21/20.
Man Utd vs Leeds
As sloppy as Man United have routinely looked for much of the season, they’ve dropped points in just one of their last six league games, and shrugged off a comical goof from keeper Dean Henderson against the worst side in the Prem on Thursday to fight back and win.
It was hardly the most confidence-boosting performance imaginable, but whatever happens in United games, they often seem to get the result. Will that hold true as they host a side they’ve enjoyed a historical rivalry with – and who shrugged off their own iffy form with a magnificent 5-2 victory over Newcastle earlier this week?
With Leeds typically creating bucketloads of chances while also leaving plenty of opportunity to be gotten at, the logical conclusion is that this game will be another goalfest. Leeds will certainly aim for more goalmouth action anyway; and United’s home form remains sketchy, with just one league win (the 1-0 over West Brom) and three defeats.
Leeds are 18/5 for the win, which seems worth the gamble to me. Alternately, over 4.5 goals is a 3/1 shot; it’s paid off in five of Man United’s 12 league games already this season, and Leeds surely offer the potential for goals at both ends of the pitch.
West Brom vs Aston Villa
New boss Sam Allardyce hasn’t had long to work his particular brand of pragmatic magic with the Baggies – will his new troops be able to earn a point against Villa on Sunday? They held out against Man City midweek before Sam took the reins, so you’d think Dean Smith’s side shouldn’t faze them. The draw is a 14/5 shot.
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