West Ham vs Chelsea
Thomas Tuchel admitted Chelsea weren’t at their best against Watford earlier this week – but the league leaders still won that game. West Ham side may be riding high in the Prem, but they’re winless in their last three league games and the Blues can extend that run here.
The West London side have won their last five away games, conceding just one goal over that run. Each one of those games has seen score totals of fewer than 3.5 goals, too, so Chelsea to win and Under 3.5 goals at 13/10 looks a decent prospect.
Newcastle vs Burnley
Sean Dyche’s side are unbeaten in their last three away games. For all that, they’ve won one league game all season – and last season Newcastle beat Burnley both home and away.
That’s got to be a motivating factor for Eddie Howe’s side. Newcastle scored three goals against Brentford without taking the victory a couple of weeks back, and their efforts to win earlier this week were compromised after having Ciaran Clark dismissed after nine minutes against the Canaries on Tuesday.
They’ve not been great, but perhaps here the Magpies can actually win a game that looks, you know, winnable. You may say I’m a dreamer, but I’m not the only one. Newcastle are 13/10.
Southampton vs Brighton
South coast ennui could be in store here, as hit-and-miss Southampton host deadlock specialist Graham Potter’s Brighton. Seagulls fans might be grumbling, but Neal Maupay scored a spectacular goal against West Ham earlier this week to deliver a seventh draw in nine matches for Brighton.
The Saints are unbeaten in their last four matches at St Marys, too, so a point apiece clearly isn’t out of the question. If you want something a bit spicier though, maybe Che Adams can deliver.
Adams has three goals in his last five league appearances for Southampton – that’s a pretty decent return for the 25-year-old who is 23/4 to open the scoring. If you’re not convinced, fair enough – the draw is available at 9/4.
Wolves vs Liverpool
Nuno Espirito Santo may have departed, but his spirit lives on in recent Wolves matches; the side’s last three games have yielded a total of one goal. After Wolves earned bore-draws against Norwich and Burnley, Bruno Lage’s side now host a Liverpool team that have scored in every single game they’ve played this season.
Furthermore, Liverpool have scored four goals in each of their last three league outings, while conceding one goal over the same period. Will Jurgen Klopp’s side run riot here too? Well, they should certainly feel confident – okay, even more confident – given they haven’t lost during any of their last eight league visits to Molineux.
Wolves’ fairly strong start to the season can be contextualised when you consider they haven’t played that many of the league’s top teams yet – their best result is a 1-0 win over West Ham. And when Wolves played Leicester, Spurs and Man Utd at the start of the season, they lost all three matches.
A Liverpool win feels almost like a foregone conclusion then. The bigger question may be whether this will be another Klopp-inspired clobbering, or if Lage will be able to keep the score line respectable.
But Liverpool’s current delight in racking up the goals mean it could be worth backing them to score over 2.5 in the Total Goals by Liverpool market, at odds of 31/20. If you’re looking for something a little more precise, Liverpool to win 3-0 is a 17/2 shot.
Watford vs Man City
Watford’s record against Man City is not good. A couple of years ago they were beaten 8-0 at the Etihad, and last year at Vicarage Road Pep Guardiola’s team won 4-0. In fact, City haven’t lost to Watford in their last 18 meetings across all competitions.
In more general terms, Claudio Ranieri’s side have lost six of their last eight league matches this season. Even if the Hornets have enjoyed a few eye-catching results since the Italian manager took the helm, it is difficult to see this ending in anything but a loss for the hosts.
In City’s last six league wins, they’ve been winning at the end of both the first and second halves. So backing City to win both halves at 5/4, in our Match Events section, would seem a good alternative to backing the straight odds-on win.
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